Donnerstag, 5. November 2015

Investments and Demographics

BCA Research has published a special report about the economic implications of an aging global population:

  • Global population growth has nearly halved over the past forty years and the labor force is expanding very slowly. 
  • Health among the elderly in the OECD has been improving, but not quickly enough to compensate for the secular impact of aging.
  • The reduced labor force participation rate among the 16-24 age cohort is reflective of deep social changes that won’t be easily reversed.
  • A smaller potential workforce will not turnaround the slowdown in real wage growth because of technological destruction.
  • An aging population and economic growth in the developing world will create an almost insatiable demand for health care services and products.
  • Entitlement will increase as government revenues will be under pressure. Taxes have to rise.
  • A more serviced based economy will have less need for energy.
  • A smaller workforce means also a slower growing economy, as Japan is already experiencing.


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